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From Russia, without love: U.S. will collapse
MOSCOW -- If you're inclined to believe Igor Panarin, and the Kremlin wouldn't mind if you did, then President Barack Obama will order martial law this year, the U.S. will split into six rump-states before 2011, and Russia and China will become the backbones of a new world order.
Panarin might be easy to ignore but for the fact that he is a dean at the Foreign Ministry's school for future diplomats and a regular on Russia's state-guided TV channels. And his predictions fit into the anti-American story line of the Kremlin leadership.
"There is a high probability that the collapse of the United States will occur by 2010," Panarin told dozens of students, professors and diplomats Tuesday at the Diplomatic Academy -- a lecture the ministry pointedly invited the Associated Press and other foreign media to attend.
The prediction from Panarin, a former spokesman for Russia's Federal Space Agency and reportedly an ex-KGB analyst, meshes with the negative view of the U.S. that has been flowing from the Kremlin in recent years, in particular from Vladimir Putin.
Putin, the former president who is now prime minister, has likened the United States to Nazi Germany's Third Reich and blames Washington for the global financial crisis that has pounded the Russian economy.
Panarin didn't give many specifics on what underlies his analysis, mostly citing newspapers, magazines and other open sources.
He also noted he had been predicting the demise of the world's wealthiest country for more than a decade now.
But he said the recent economic turmoil in the U.S. and other "social and cultural phenomena" led him to nail down a specific timeframe for "The End" -- when the United States will break up into six autonomous regions and Alaska will revert to Russian control.
Panarin argued that Americans are in moral decline, saying their great psychological stress is evident from school shootings, the size of the prison population and the number of gay men.
Turning to economic woes, he cited the slide in major stock indexes, the decline in U.S. gross domestic product and Washington's bailout of banking giant Citigroup as evidence that American dominance of global markets has collapsed.
"I was there recently and things are far from good," he said. "What's happened is the collapse of the American dream."
Panarin insisted he didn't wish for a U.S. collapse, but he predicted Russia and China would emerge from the economic turmoil stronger and said the two nations should work together, even to create a new currency to replace the U.S. dollar.
Asked for comment on how the Foreign Ministry views Panarin's theories, a spokesman said all questions had to be submitted in writing and no answers were likely before today.
It wasn't clear how persuasive the 20-minute lecture was. One instructor asked Panarin whether his predictions more accurately describe Russia, which is undergoing its worst economic crisis in a decade as well as a demographic collapse that has led some scholars to predict the country's demise.
Panarin dismissed that idea: "The collapse of Russia will not occur."
But Alexei Malashenko, a scholar-in-residence at the Carnegie Moscow Center who did not attend the lecture, sided with the skeptical instructor, saying Russia is the country that is on the verge of disintegration.
"I can't imagine at all how the United States could ever fall apart," Malashenko told the AP.
OHV notec wrote:Russian propaganda...what did you expect?
Citing an increase in school shootings (I'm sure these NEVER happen in Russia), the prison population (we could just kill them all...cough...Russia...cough), and the number of gay men (gay women are okay though lol)... lame
All questions must be submitted in writing ahead of time... lame.
At least his 'colleagues' are calling him out on it.
J03Y wrote:OHV notec wrote:Russian propaganda...what did you expect?
Citing an increase in school shootings (I'm sure these NEVER happen in Russia), the prison population (we could just kill them all...cough...Russia...cough), and the number of gay men (gay women are okay though lol)... lame
All questions must be submitted in writing ahead of time... lame.
At least his 'colleagues' are calling him out on it.
Questions need to be submitted ahead of time so they can draft up some form of counter-propaganda. And his colleagues calling him out will most likely be killed or silenced, it they haven't already.
Wade Jarvis wrote:J03Y wrote:OHV notec wrote:Russian propaganda...what did you expect?
Citing an increase in school shootings (I'm sure these NEVER happen in Russia), the prison population (we could just kill them all...cough...Russia...cough), and the number of gay men (gay women are okay though lol)... lame
All questions must be submitted in writing ahead of time... lame.
At least his 'colleagues' are calling him out on it.
Questions need to be submitted ahead of time so they can draft up some form of counter-propaganda. And his colleagues calling him out will most likely be killed or silenced, it they haven't already.
Agreed He is going to feel awfully stupid here in 2010 when the US has not crumbled.
Rodimus Prime wrote:Russia will collapse long before this country does, China on the other hand, I'd already say they are the most powerful nation in the world. They have the most money, they make everything so they are self sufficient, which is something this country used to have until poor foreign trade policies wore it all away, nothing is made here anymore, even our defense contracts are outsourced to other nations. If that isn't a threat to national security I dont know what is.
Rodimus Prime wrote:China is I believe the only nation with enough guts to potentially invade this nation at some point. Something that should disturb all of you to think about....they can send an army of 1 million people here everyday for almost 3 years straight and still have a larger population if every single one of them died. We are severely outnumbered. Even if every single citizen owns guns in this country put together its hard being outnumbered 5 to 1. Russia never had an advantage like that, they also never had the type of economic power that China has. True military power comes from economic power. They can buy as much of anyone or anything as they want. Oh yea they got nukes too.yeah, like M1 said, china may have us outnumbered, but it would be impossible for them to actually GET here. we could launch any number of smart bombs to any ship carrying them to our coast, killing them in the water before they get here. the problem we will face is an economic one. china already owns more of our debt than any country. but on the flip side, we also buy more stuff from them than any other country. so really.....they dont have a reason to attack us. yet.
Rodimus Prime wrote:Its actually quite simple why China would have a military reason to attack another country. Land, they don't have enough of it and they have alot of money, if you read any world history at all nearly ever major war that has ever been fought since the stone age, its always been about land or religion. History has shown time and time again that when a country increases population, money and military power, wars are fought, its a never ending cycle.
Rest of the world? When has the rest of the world ever helped us? Britain, Canada, Australia thats about all you can count on coming to our defense. You can bet your ass Japan and Israel wouldn't lift a finger to help. SO why isn't the Iraq war helping the economy, its just making it worse? Even the best gun doesn't always overcome 5 or 6 to 1 odds. You have to consider the money factor, they have enough money to buy as many weapons as they want and Russia as weak as it is financially would not hesitate for a second to sell off their entire arsenal to the Chinese. Theres no way this country could afford to finance a large scale war. Look at the damage the Iraq war is doing to money supply and thats just a bunch of kids strapped with explosives to themselves, not trained soldiers.
Rodimus Prime wrote:Its actually quite simple why China would have a military reason to attack another country. Land, they don't have enough of it and they have alot of money, if you read any world history at all nearly ever major war that has ever been fought since the stone age, its always been about land or religion. History has shown time and time again that when a country increases population, money and military power, wars are fought, its a never ending cycle.
Rodimus Prime wrote:Its actually quite simple why China would have a military reason to attack another country. Land, they don't have enough of it and they have alot of money, if you read any world history at all nearly ever major war that has ever been fought since the stone age, its always been about land or religion. History has shown time and time again that when a country increases population, money and military power, wars are fought, its a never ending cycle.
Rest of the world? When has the rest of the world ever helped us? Britain, Canada, Australia thats about all you can count on coming to our defense. You can bet your ass Japan and Israel wouldn't lift a finger to help. SO why isn't the Iraq war helping the economy, its just making it worse? Even the best gun doesn't always overcome 5 or 6 to 1 odds. You have to consider the money factor, they have enough money to buy as many weapons as they want and Russia as weak as it is financially would not hesitate for a second to sell off their entire arsenal to the Chinese. Theres no way this country could afford to finance a large scale war. Look at the damage the Iraq war is doing to money supply and thats just a bunch of kids strapped with explosives to themselves, not trained soldiers.
Rodimus Prime wrote:Well in an economic war with the Chinese they are handing us our collective ass.
TheSundownFire wrote:The problem with Russia lies in the fact that a good portion of their current govt is composed of former KGB and Soviet opperatives. I believe Putin is ex-KGB and he ran Russia. They haven't changed since 1929.But, but...
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He's an honest, straightforward man who loves his country. He loves his family. We share a lot of values. I view him as a remarkable leader. I believe his leadership will serve Russia well. Russia and America have the opportunity to accomplish much together; we should seize it.
I looked the man in the eye. I found him to be very straightforward and trustworthy. We had a very good dialogue. I was able to get a sense of his soul; a man deeply committed to his country and the best interests of his country. And I appreciated so very much the frank dialogue. There was no kind of diplomatic chit-chat, trying to throw each other off balance. There was a straightforward dialogue. And that's the beginning of a very constructive relationship. I wouldn't have invited him to my ranch if I didn't trust him.