Quote:
Sept. retail sales rise, third monthly increase
By MARTIN CRUTSINGER, AP Economics Writer Martin Crutsinger, Ap Economics Writer – 42 mins ago
WASHINGTON – Americans spent more money on cars, furniture and at hardware stores to boost retail sales to a third monthly increase in September.
The string of gains since July followed declines in May and June. Those had raised worries that the country could be in danger of toppling back into recession. Economists caution that while the economy is growing, the expansion is not strong enough to lower face high unemployment and offset weak income growth.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said during a speech Friday in Boston that the Fed is prepared to take further steps to rejuvenate the economy by buying Treasury bonds. But he said Fed policymakers are wrestling with how big the program should be.
The Fed is widely expected to announce a Treasury buying program at their next meeting Nov. 2-3. The Fed's bond purchases would be intended to lower long-term interest rates to stimulate buying and spending and help lower unemployment.
Bernanke also indicated that policymakers are trying to craft a plan to strengthen the economy and lift inflation from super-low levels.
His comments were delivered as the Labor Department reported inflation outside volatile food and energy costs was flat for the second straight month. And in the past 12 months, core prices rose only 0.8 percent, the smallest yearly gain in more than 49 years.
The sluggish economy is keeping a lid on prices. Consumers are holding back on spending, with unemployment high and wages stagnant. That makes it difficult for retailers to pass on any price increases.
Consumer spending is closely watched because it accounts for 70 percent of economic activity.
Retail sales rose 0.6 percent in September, the Commerce Department reported Friday. That followed an even better 0.7 percent August increase, the biggest advance since March.
The gains have economists revising their forecasts for economic growth in the July-September quarter.
Paul Dales, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics, said he has changed his forecast for consumer spending to between 2.5 percent and 3 percent, up from 2 percent. That would support overall economic growth of around 3 percent in the third quarter — much stronger than the 1.7 percent in the second quarter, he said.
Excluding autos, sales rose 0.4 percent in September after a 1 percent August gain. Auto sales, which had fallen 0.5 percent in August, rose 1.6 percent in September, the best showing since March. Economists had predicted the September increase in auto sales based on reports from automakers. Those reports showed sales during the month had come in at an annual rate of 11.76 million units, slightly better than the August pace. Still, it was far below the pre-recession level of 16 million sales in 2007 — just before the recession began.
The strength outside of autos came in big gains at furniture stores. Sale in that category rose 0.5 percent, the best showing since July. Electronic and appliance stores posted a 1.5 percent rise, the best since February. Sales at hardware stores rose 0.6 percent, the biggest increase since April.
Sales at general merchandise stores, a broad category that includes department stores and the nation's big chains such as Wal-Mart and Target, showed no increase last month. But the flat reading followed a 0.5 percent jump in August, which had been fueled by back-to-school shopping and discounting by many retailers.
Sales at specialty clothing stores dropped 0.2 percent in August after posting a 0.5 percent rise in July.
Even with the solid overall gain in September, analysts did not view it as a sign the economy is getting set to take off.
The concern is that consumer spending will not rebound until households have the income growth to spend at a faster pace. And the income growth will not come until businesses start hiring back laid-off workers at a stronger clip.
The Labor Department reported last week that the nation's unemployment rate remained stuck at 9.6 percent in September. The country saw a net loss of 95,000 jobs.
Unemployment has been at or above 9.5 percent for a year and two months, the longest stretch since the Great Depression.
The overall economy grew at an anemic pace of just 1.7 percent in the April-June quarter. Many analysts believe the economy will limp along at a rate below 2 percent in the last half of this year.
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AP Economics Writers Jeannine Aversa and Christopher S. Rugaber contributed to this report.
Mr.Goodwrench-G.T. wrote:Would FOX news or Rush Limbaugh report this?
Mikey (drpdcavi) wrote:He wouldn't know what they report unless another news organization pointed it out.Mr.Goodwrench-G.T. wrote:Would FOX news or Rush Limbaugh report this?
Actually, they did. Same exact AP news article on their site.
http://www.foxnews.com/us/2010/10/15/september-retail-sales-straight-month/
Quote:Keep this in mind. While I will be quite pleased if and when the economy actually starts truly growing, these stats are very weak, and we are still losing jobs. We will continue to lose jobs until something is done to encourage businesses to invest in growth. As it stands, there is too much uncertainty as to what's going to happen, and too much indication that taxes are going to increase in many forms. That's not going to encourage anything.
Even with the solid overall gain in September, analysts did not view it as a sign the economy is getting set to take off.
The concern is that consumer spending will not rebound until households have the income growth to spend at a faster pace. And the income growth will not come until businesses start hiring back laid-off workers at a stronger clip.
The Labor Department reported last week that the nation's unemployment rate remained stuck at 9.6 percent in September. The country saw a net loss of 95,000 jobs.
Unemployment has been at or above 9.5 percent for a year and two months, the longest stretch since the Great Depression.
The overall economy grew at an anemic pace of just 1.7 percent in the April-June quarter. Many analysts believe the economy will limp along at a rate below 2 percent in the last half of this year.
Quiklilcav wrote: As it stands, there is too much uncertainty as to what's going to happen, and too much indication that taxes are going to increase in many forms. That's not going to encourage anything.
Mikey (drpdcavi) wrote:Mr.Goodwrench-G.T. wrote:Would FOX news or Rush Limbaugh report this?
Actually, they did. Same exact AP news article on their site.
http://www.foxnews.com/us/2010/10/15/september-retail-sales-straight-month/
It is good to see some upticks in economic reports, but the overall outlook is for a very slow recovery worldwide, EM excluded.
Take Back the Republican Party wrote:A bit more optimism:
Jobless claims drop, monetary stimulus seen
Mr.Goodwrench-G.T. wrote:Mikey (drpdcavi) wrote:Mr.Goodwrench-G.T. wrote:Would FOX news or Rush Limbaugh report this?
Actually, they did. Same exact AP news article on their site.
http://www.foxnews.com/us/2010/10/15/september-retail-sales-straight-month/
It is good to see some upticks in economic reports, but the overall outlook is for a very slow recovery worldwide, EM excluded.
Technically you're right, Internet Fox News did regurgitate the AP report, what I meant was the actual TV channel, as the majority doesn't read and just go by the sound bytes.
Take Back the Republican Party wrote:No, it will not. You can not do something which will hinder economic growth (raise taxes) and expect that the final outcome will be an increased revenue stream. Sure, in the very short term, they will see a revenue increase, but long term, revenue will continue to fall. The argument for needing to raise taxes is based on the view that the economy is a zero-sum equation, meaning that we are going to have a set amount of activity regardless of tax rates. It does not acknowledge the fact that lowering the rate stimulates growth and activity such that the net tax dollars end up higher.Quiklilcav wrote: As it stands, there is too much uncertainty as to what's going to happen, and too much indication that taxes are going to increase in many forms. That's not going to encourage anything.
Well, it may encourage one thing...debt reduction.
Take Back the Republican Party wrote:Ever heard the term "falling on deaf ears"?LOL. Yep. And that describes you to a "T". You are unable to listen to factual based logic, because you've developed such distain for conservatism that you can't even allow yourself to comprehend the reasoning. The only cards you have left in your deck at this point are feeble attempts at casting doubt on whoever you disagree with, and the tired cry of "extremist" to describe anyone to your right.
Take Back the Republican Party wrote:The real unemployment rate is a moving target, for it's not a static statistic by any means. Every hour, people are leaving the workforce via death, retirement, or leaving the country. While this is occurring, new workers are entering the workforce via coming of age and immigration. Meanwhile, some unemployed are, as you mention running out of benefits. Still others may be off the radar altogether. Other still are on Workmen's Comp. The mind boggles with all the variables.
What to do? Not much we can do, really. No matter what, none of the information we are being fed from any side can be fact-checked for veracity. As such, it's nigh useless to fault the official figures. How can anyone prove them wrong? Or right, for that matter? The reporting agencies have all the data, no one else does.
In my perspective, so long as the stats are reported using the same sources, in the same fashion, over time, that's about as good as it's going to get. Everything else just becomes wishing and hoping, and is equally as factual and provable, or even relevant, as yours or my wishes and hopes.